Week 5: (10-6-1, +3.25u) YTD: 36-27-2 (55%)
Note: All CFB and Prop plays are 1u, +money teasers/parlays are .5u.
ALCS Game 1. BOS Chris Sale v. HOU Framber Valdez, 10/15 7:07 PM CT, FOX
Xander Bogaertz O 1.5 Total Bases +145
Jose Altuve O 1.5 Hits +210
BOS Red Sox ML +125
25 Texas v. #12 Oklahoma State (OVER 60.5 -115), 11:00 AM CT, FOX
The Longhorns and Sooners easily got us over last week, and I expect a similar game script in Austin. The Cowboys’ defense ranks third in the Big 12, but true freshman WR Xavior Worthy and QB Casey Thompson have found a real connection. Root for points.
2 Iowa v. Purdue (1H OVER 22 -105), 2:30 PM CT, ABC
The Hawkeyes will be without CB Riley Moss, and we all know the “second-half defense” narrative with this team. WR David Bell is putting together another solid year in the B1G and I’m hoping to see Iowa open up a little bit more than last week.
13 Ole Miss (-2.5) v. Tennessee, 6:30 PM CT, SECN
This feels like a trap line but I’m going to fall for it. The total is set at 82.5 (!!), so points shouldn’t be hard to come by. If this game comes down to the wire, any last-second score likely means a cover.
5 Alabama (-17) v. Mississippi State, 6:00 PM CT, ESPN
Hard to not bet on a hungry Alabama team that now has something to prove to the playoff committee. The last time Mike Leach met Nick Saban, the Tide emerged in a 41-0 victory. Lay the points and remember, it’s still Bama.
DK 50% profit boost five-leg ML favorite parlay: Marshall, Michigan State, Nebraska, Colorado, Iowa State +698
Patrick Mahomes OVER 2.5 TDs -145
Dan Arnold OVER 35.5 yds -115
Mark Andrews OVER 4.5 recs -165
Ja’Marr Chase ATD +105
Kyler Murray Pass+Rush yds OVER 290.5 -115
CeeDee Lamb OVER 4.5 recs -145
Hunter Renfrow OVER 4.5 recs -145
Ben Roethlisberger OVER 1.5 TDs -135
NFL Spread Picks
JAX Jaguars (+3) vs. MIA Dolphins, 8:30 AM, London
LA Chargers (+2.5) vs. BAL Ravens, Noon
HOU Texans (+10) vs. IND Colts, Noon
DAL Cowboys (-3.5) vs. NE Patriots, 3:25
BUF Bills vs. TEN Titans (OVER 53), MNF