Last week: 4-1 (YTD: 6-1)
Off to a great start in college football, but the NFL is a different beast. I’ll be sticking with mostly props in Week 1.
TNF on NBC: TB Buccaneers vs. DAL Cowboys Props
CeeDee Lamb OVER 60.5 receiving yards -115
Mike Evans OVER 4.5 receptions +115
Half Unit: Antonio Brown/CeeDee Lamb Anytime TD SGP +575
CFB Week 2 and NFL Week 1
10 Iowa (ML) vs. #9 Iowa State, 3:30 PM CT +165
I should preface this by saying it has nothing to do with ISU’s game last Saturday against UNI. The Cyclones will be sharper on both sides of the ball, but I don’t think it will matter. If ISU DC John Heacock wants to drop seven guys into coverage, Tyler Goodson and Ivory Kelly-Martin should have some running lanes. Petras and Purdy look to bounce back from subpar openers while the Iowa D is riding high. Under 46 is another option, but Hawks by a milli.
TCU (1H -6.5) vs. California, 2:30 PM CT -115
TCU QB Max Duggan found easy success through the air and on the ground last week against Duquense. The Golden Bears won’t bring much more competition to a strong and experienced TCU squad.
East Carolina (+2) vs. South Carolina, 11:00 AM CT -110
The Pirates opened as three-point dogs before seeing some time as the favorite earlier this week. They are coming off a tough loss to Appalachian State, and South Carolina could be in a let-down spot with grad transfer (and former Cyclone QB) Zeb Noland going on the road in a rivalry game.
NFL Props and Picks
- SF WR Brandon Aiyuk OVER 3.5 receptions -150 vs. Detroit Lions
- WFT RB Antonio Gibson OVER 2.5 receptions -120 vs. LA Chargers
- GB QB Aaron Rodgers UNDER 39.5 pass attempts -115 vs. NO Saints
- ATL WR Calvin Ridley OVER 78.5 receiving yards -115 vs. PHI Eagles
- NE WR Jakobi Meyers OVER 3.5 receptions -135 vs. MIA Dolphins
GB Packers (-3.5) vs. NO Saints, 9/12 3:25 PM CT -110
The Packers have covered this number in 4 of their last 5 week ones, and I think they hold that trend here. Even with Jameis Winston starting under center, the Saints offense is not the same without Michael Thomas on the field. Rodgers, Adams, and Jones will challenge any good defense.
KC Chiefs (-5.5) vs. CLE Browns, 9/12 3:25 PM CT -115
This is emotional betting on my end, but I’m confident the Chiefs handle the Browns on Sunday. Patrick Mahomes is insane in September and the Browns have a suspect week one history. The new-look offensive line turned heads in the preseason and appears to have already established chemistry. I expect better ATS performances this season.